Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.001891 0.002011 0.002135 0.002273 0.002423 0.002580 0.002759
2025-03-30 0.001714 0.001881 0.002062 0.002273 0.002511 0.002774 0.003087
2025-04-06 0.001569 0.001764 0.001981 0.002242 0.002548 0.002898 0.003332
2025-04-13 0.001452 0.001664 0.001906 0.002204 0.002564 0.002988 0.003533
2025-04-20 0.001333 0.001551 0.001804 0.002123 0.002518 0.002995 0.003625
2025-04-27 0.001284 0.001516 0.001791 0.002145 0.002593 0.003149 0.003903
2025-05-04 0.001254 0.001501 0.001800 0.002191 0.002698 0.003344 0.004243
2025-05-11 0.001237 0.001500 0.001824 0.002256 0.002829 0.003575 0.004644
2025-05-18 0.001201 0.001473 0.001813 0.002274 0.002897 0.003725 0.004943
2025-05-25 0.001143 0.001415 0.001758 0.002231 0.002879 0.003757 0.005075
2025-06-01 0.001099 0.001372 0.001721 0.002209 0.002887 0.003823 0.005257
2025-06-08 0.001073 0.001353 0.001714 0.002225 0.002949 0.003965 0.005558
2025-06-15 0.001029 0.001310 0.001677 0.002204 0.002963 0.004051 0.005797
2025-06-22 0.000993 0.001275 0.001649 0.002195 0.002995 0.004165 0.006089
2025-06-29 0.000950 0.001231 0.001608 0.002164 0.002991 0.004224 0.006297
2025-07-06 0.000910 0.001187 0.001564 0.002126 0.002976 0.004263 0.006476
2025-07-13 0.000859 0.001128 0.001495 0.002049 0.002896 0.004197 0.006470
2025-07-20 0.000842 0.001115 0.001492 0.002070 0.002966 0.004370 0.006886
2025-07-27 0.000834 0.001114 0.001506 0.002114 0.003075 0.004612 0.007442
2025-08-03 0.000831 0.001121 0.001530 0.002176 0.003215 0.004914 0.008132
2025-08-10 0.000816 0.001108 0.001526 0.002193 0.003283 0.005098 0.008621
2025-08-17 0.000785 0.001073 0.001486 0.002152 0.003252 0.005110 0.008781
2025-08-24 0.000762 0.001046 0.001460 0.002131 0.003253 0.005177 0.009052